Tools for safe iterative Bayesian model building

Description of the granted funding

Statistical analysis is fundamental to science, and support decision-making in the public and private sectors. While statistical algorithms have advanced rapidly, software support and modelers' knowledge have failed to keep pace. This mismatch has resulted in suboptimal statistical workflows contributing to the reproducibility crisis in science. My team has significantly advanced the development of both theory and methods for safe iterative model building. Nonetheless, they have not yet been widely adopted by users. This is because implementing statistical methods in software is far from trivial, requiring careful consideration of mathematical, algorithmic, and computer limitations, implementation details, and human cognitive constraints. This project will significantly improve open-source software tools for safe iterative Bayesian model building, with immediate high impact, enhancing the efficiency, flexibility, and trustworthiness of model building.
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Starting year

2026

End year

2027

Granted funding

Aki Vehtari Orcid -palvelun logo
300 000 €

Funder

Research Council of Finland

Funding instrument

Targeted Academy projects

Decision maker

Suomen akatemian muu päättäjä
03.11.2025

Other information

Funding decision number

372494

Fields of science

Computer and information sciences

Research fields

Laskennallinen data-analyysi

Identified topics

computer science, information science, algorithms